Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.3% | 46.7% | -0.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets -2 (77-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.