Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.7% | 75.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 53.3% | 46.7% | -0.7 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets -2 (77-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Payne | 32 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| J. Ingram | 29 | 6-17 | 0-6 | 6-7 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 12 | - |
| K. Howell | 29 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | - |
| F. Valencia | 26 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | - |
| J. Young | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| S. Villegas | 19 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Amos | 17 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| A. Currie | 8 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| R. Johnson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| H. Charalambous | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Kent | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Pinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter