Model Predictions
| Model | Harvard Crimson | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.6% | 73.4% | +5.6 | ✓ (15.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 59.5% | 40.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.7% | 79.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +21 (76-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Harvard Crimson
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Goffredo | 34 | 3-15 | 2-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| D. Housman | 33 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 0 | - |
| M. Stehle | 28 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 13 | - |
| E. Harris | 23 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 3 | - |
| M. Beal | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| B. Darcy | 17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| K. Yada | 15 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Z. Martin | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Unger | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Lambert | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| E. Groszyk | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Pusar | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Roberts | 27 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| B. Hopkins | 26 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 5 | - |
| B. Morris | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 8 | - |
| D. Pearson | 23 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 15 | - |
| D. Willingham | 22 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Killen | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | - |
| B. Epps | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Rackauskas | 17 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| B. Fall | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| R. Hopkins | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter