Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Pepperdine Waves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.1% | 69.9% | +4.6 | ✓ (10.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.9% | 36.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 91.8% | 8.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pepperdine Waves +15 (87-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Shewmake | 35 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 22 | 23 | - |
| M. Efevberha | 31 | 4-14 | 0-7 | 8-9 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 11 | - |
| B. Altheimer | 29 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Chitwood | 23 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 8-11 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 21 | - |
| J. Heard | 17 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| R. Haynes | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| A. Washington | 13 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| J. Miller | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Locke | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Everage | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Hill | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| A. Powers | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Smith | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Walton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Pepperdine Waves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Gerrity | 39 | 7-19 | 2-4 | 4-9 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 11 | - |
| T. Forehan-Kelly | 35 | 5-9 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 22 | - |
| J. Henry | 31 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 5 | - |
| C. Horning | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| C. Griffin | 22 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 3-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| C. Roush | 15 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | - |
| T. Pranciliauskas | 12 | 3-3 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| G. Barlow | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| D. Grubb | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 4 | - |
* = starter