Model Predictions
| Model | Austin Peay Governors | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.1% | 60.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 25.0% | 75.0% | +6.1 | ✗ (22.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.5% | 68.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders -16 (67-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Schlader | 36 | 10-18 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 10 | - |
| M. Hampton | 35 | 9-15 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 15 | - |
| K. Duncan | 30 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | - |
| D. Reed | 26 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| D. Wright | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 9 | - |
| L. Shipley | 17 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| F. Lockett | 14 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Babington | 14 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J.P. Felder | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Cuyler | 35 | 5-15 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 2 | - |
| A. Vogelsberg | 34 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 4-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | 4 | - |
| K. Young | 33 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | - |
| M. Morrison | 29 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| B. Howard | 20 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | - |
| B. Lake | 18 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| T. Blue | 11 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
| T. Hudson | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Kanaskie | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. O'Neil | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter