Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.4% | 95.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.1% | 98.9% | +24.9 | ✓ (13.9 off) |
| Efficiency | 70.8% | 29.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +11 (77-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Dinkins | 37 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| C. Pugh | 37 | 1-9 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| J. Greene | 32 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| M. Housman | 28 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | - |
| B. Hodges | 27 | 7-16 | 6-13 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 10 | - |
| J. Zito | 26 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| T. Young | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.R. Reynolds | 37 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 10-10 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 18 | - |
| J. Cain | 36 | 6-12 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 19 | - |
| S. Singletary | 29 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | - |
| A. Joseph | 28 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | - |
| M. Diane | 28 | 6-11 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| L. Mikalauskas | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Soroye | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Shiembob | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| B. Campbell | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter