Model Predictions
| Model | Dartmouth Big Green | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 5.9% | 94.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.1% | 95.9% | +17.4 | ✓ (11.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.5% | 56.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +6 (66-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dartmouth Big Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Pattman | 27 | 4-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| C. Flynn | 24 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| P. Bode | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Mosley | 22 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| M. Lang | 20 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| A. Barnett | 19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Giovacchini | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Ball | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| B. McMillan | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Meyer | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Hammick | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Biber | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Chiotti | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| R. Kersten | 31 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| M. Walters | 30 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11 | - |
| T. Danridge | 24 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| J. Hart | 21 | 4-4 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| K. Collins | 18 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| B. Harden | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| K. Prochaska | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Faris | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Prentice | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Toppert | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Walter | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
* = starter