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2005-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Missouri State Bears Creighton Bluejays Spread Result
Elo 6.5% 93.5% -
Bradley-Terry 22.4% 77.6% -
Margin 14.4% 85.6% +9.8 (12.2 off)
Efficiency 8.1% 91.9% -

Actual: Creighton Bluejays +22 (78-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Ahearn 34 3-9 1-6 6-6 2 1 0 0 3 13 4 -
T. Chaney 32 2-12 1-3 1-5 5 3 2 0 2 6 2 -
K. Easley 24 5-11 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 3 10 3 -
D. Thompson 22 2-6 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 6 1 -
S. Laurie 21 2-4 0-1 0-0 3 1 1 0 3 4 2 -
S. Frazier 20 3-6 0-0 5-5 4 0 1 1 1 11 10 -
N. Bilyeu 18 1-5 0-0 0-0 8 4 0 0 2 2 7 -
D. Lamberth 15 2-4 0-2 0-1 3 0 0 1 2 4 2 -
D. Richards 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Fuehrmeyer 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Mathies 35 4-9 1-5 9-10 2 5 5 0 2 18 19 -
J. Dotzler 35 3-6 1-2 2-2 3 4 2 0 5 9 7 -
N. Porter 29 4-8 2-3 0-0 8 2 1 1 1 10 13 -
A. Tolliver 25 7-11 0-0 4-7 4 1 0 3 3 18 12 -
D. Watts 24 5-8 2-4 1-3 4 2 0 0 1 13 10 -
J. Day 23 1-7 1-1 0-0 10 1 0 2 0 3 9 -
D. Bishop 12 1-2 1-1 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 3 5 -
B. Nengsu 9 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
M. Gakou 7 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
D. Sitzmann 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter