Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Asheville Bulldogs | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.0% | 97.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.5% | 94.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.1% | 98.9% | +24.7 | ✓ (17.3 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +42 (89-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNC Asheville Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Holmes * | 35 | 7-13 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 16 | 5 | - |
| J. Harrell * | 33 | 1-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -3 | - |
| C. Mohn * | 29 | 4-13 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Barber * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 7 | - |
| O. Collington * | 17 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | -9 | - |
| M. Ellis | 17 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Augst | 17 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| M. Day | 15 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| G. Moles | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Ridenhour | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Noel * | 28 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| B. Frasor * | 24 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| T. Hansbrough * | 24 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 16 | - |
| M. Ginyard * | 22 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 6-6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| R. Terry * | 19 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| D. Green | 19 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 5-5 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 20 | - |
| B. Sanders | 18 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| W. Miller | 16 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| M. Copeland | 7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| S. Wood | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| W. Robinson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Wilkins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Burke | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter