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2005-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Northern Iowa Panthers Bradley Braves Spread Result
Elo 17.0% 83.0% -
Bradley-Terry 59.1% 40.9% -
Margin 55.6% 44.4% -1.2 (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 47.2% 52.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 41.8% 58.2% -
Log Adjusted 41.6% 58.4% -

Actual: Bradley Braves +8 (68-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Crawford 43 1-8 1-4 0-1 3 3 1 0 2 3 0 -
B. Jacobson 43 8-20 4-9 3-5 3 2 3 0 4 23 7 -
B. McKowen 39 1-4 1-3 0-0 6 3 1 0 3 3 6 -
G. Stout 38 3-11 0-5 4-4 9 1 3 3 2 10 13 -
E. Coleman 29 4-8 0-0 4-6 9 4 0 0 1 12 16 -
J. Little 29 3-6 3-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 9 5 -
J. Josten 4 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -

Bradley Braves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Wright 40 5-9 0-1 4-4 11 0 1 0 0 14 17 -
M. Sommerville 40 6-11 1-1 0-2 7 0 0 0 3 13 6 -
D. Ruffin 36 2-6 1-4 6-6 4 6 2 0 3 11 14 -
T. Bennett 35 1-6 0-2 2-2 1 2 3 1 2 4 3 -
P. O'Bryant 27 8-15 0-0 1-4 11 1 0 2 0 17 16 -
J. Crouch 24 3-6 1-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 7 2 -
Z. Andrews 17 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 1 2 2 4 -
W. Franklin 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 3 -
D. Adams 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter