Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Providence Friars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.0% | 19.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 39.7% | 60.3% | +2.3 | ✓ (12.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 96.3% | 3.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Providence Friars +15 (80-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. LeSure * | 35 | 7-15 | 4-8 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 8 | - |
| K. Spain * | 32 | 6-10 | 3-4 | 3-6 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| R. Williams * | 24 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Camara * | 24 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | - |
| B. Hudson * | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| M. Abukar | 29 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| J. Sharper | 20 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Thomas | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Hoerner | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. McDermott * | 33 | 4-9 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 21 | - |
| S. Curry * | 32 | 5-16 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| D. McGrath * | 31 | 5-16 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | - |
| C. Burch * | 22 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| R. Hanke * | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Kale | 26 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-9 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 19 | - |
| W. Efejuku | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 10-14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 8 | - |
| H. Hill | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
* = starter