Model Predictions
| Model | Charleston Cougars | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.8% | 89.2% | +17.3 | ✗ (21.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 5.8% | 94.2% | +15.3 | ✗ (19.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.7% | 59.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.0% | 96.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UNC Wilmington Seahawks -4 (77-81). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Charleston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dontaye Draper | 37 | 12-18 | 2-6 | 7-9 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 33 | 22 | - |
| D. Hall | 36 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| J. Jackson | 28 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 3 | - |
| R. Dickerson | 25 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| D. Lawrence | 21 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jermaine Johnson | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| P. McCandies | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| M. Hammond | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Goldsberry | 36 | 3-10 | 1-7 | 6-7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Beckham Wyrick | 33 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| M. Laue | 27 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 4-5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 16 | - |
| T.J. Carter | 26 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 2 | - |
| T. Hendley | 24 | 3-10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Soyebo | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| V. Kuljanin | 12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| D. Grkovic | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| J. Gardner | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| D. Fountain | 4 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Lay | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter