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2005-12-27

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 70.8% 29.2% -
Bradley-Terry 66.3% 33.7% -
Margin 69.8% 30.2% -4.6 (15.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.9% 55.1% -
Efficiency 17.8% 82.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 11.7% 88.3% -
Log Adjusted 11.5% 88.5% -

Actual: Memphis Tigers +11 (83-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Raivio * 38 3-12 2-8 0-0 1 4 2 0 2 8 1 -
A. Morrison * 37 9-20 4-6 12-12 5 3 0 0 1 34 21 -
J.P. Batista * 35 5-13 0-0 5-8 8 1 0 0 2 15 9 -
S. Mallon * 27 1-6 0-0 2-3 5 2 0 0 1 4 4 -
E. Knight * 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Pendergraft 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 8 4 2 0 1 4 13 -
J. Pargo 15 0-4 0-2 2-2 6 1 0 0 2 2 3 -
P. Altidor-Cespedes 11 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
L. Gurganious 10 1-3 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Washington Jr. * 32 8-13 1-3 5-6 2 10 0 0 2 22 19 -
C. Douglas-Roberts * 30 4-7 1-2 1-2 3 2 0 0 1 10 7 -
A. Anderson * 26 3-6 0-3 1-2 5 0 3 1 2 7 8 -
J. Dorsey * 21 2-3 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 1 1 4 10 -
W. Williams * 14 1-1 0-0 0-4 1 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
S. Williams 28 5-15 1-6 3-5 11 2 1 0 1 14 12 -
R. Carney 24 6-12 4-8 1-2 3 1 0 0 0 17 9 -
R. Dozier 16 0-2 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 1 0 2 6 -
A. Allen 8 2-4 1-3 0-2 1 1 0 0 1 5 2 -
S. Njoya 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter