Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Iowa Panthers | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.6% | 86.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.5% | 76.5% | +6.5 | ✗ (13.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.7% | 47.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.2% | 43.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -7 (67-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Iowa Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Jacobson | 37 | 7-17 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 12 | - |
| E. Crawford | 37 | 2-9 | 0-3 | 10-10 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | - |
| E. Coleman | 35 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-12 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| G. Stout | 30 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| J. Little | 28 | 3-9 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | - |
| B. McKowen | 26 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| A. Viet | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| A. Santos | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Josten | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Roberts | 36 | 7-18 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| N. Plummer | 32 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 14 | - |
| M. Scott | 31 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 13 | - |
| J. Binnie | 30 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| L. White | 18 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Cripe | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Adedeji | 16 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| C. Alvarez | 12 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| W. Williams | 4 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | - |
| M. Bennett | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Little | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter