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2005-12-23

Model Predictions

Model Columbia Lions Notre Dame Fighting Irish Spread Result
Elo 42.9% 57.1% -
Bradley-Terry 6.2% 93.8% -
Margin 1.6% 98.4% +22.5 (15.5 off)
Pythagorean 32.0% 68.0% -
Efficiency 40.2% 59.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish +7 (75-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Baumann 34 5-11 0-0 1-1 4 1 0 0 6 11 -1 -
B. Loscalzo 30 2-6 1-4 0-0 3 6 1 0 1 5 8 -
M. Montgomery 26 4-7 1-2 0-0 7 4 1 0 2 9 12 -
B. Nwachukwu 25 7-10 0-0 1-3 7 0 0 1 1 15 12 -
K.J. Matsui 22 0-3 0-2 1-2 0 1 0 0 0 1 -1 -
K. Sweet 19 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 0 2 4 -
J. Armstrong 17 7-11 0-1 3-4 5 0 0 0 2 17 9 -
J. Miller 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 2 3 -
A. Peeples 10 1-7 0-4 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 2 -1 -
D. Trepanier 6 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 4 1 -

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Quinn 39 5-10 2-6 6-7 3 8 0 0 1 18 18 -
C. Falls 30 2-12 2-9 4-4 3 2 0 0 0 10 3 -
T. Francis 30 2-6 0-0 4-11 10 0 0 4 1 8 15 -
K. McAlarney 27 5-8 3-6 1-1 1 1 1 0 3 14 6 -
R. Carter 24 1-6 1-3 4-8 5 0 2 0 0 7 8 -
R. Kurz 20 0-2 0-0 6-8 4 0 2 1 1 6 10 -
R. Cornett 15 3-4 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 0 0 9 6 -
L. Zeller 15 1-2 1-2 0-2 5 1 0 0 3 3 4 -

* = starter