Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.9% | 90.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.2% | 97.8% | +20.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +29 (84-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jones | 38 | 6-18 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Y. Banks | 35 | 4-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -4 | - |
| I. Wells | 31 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| B. Ballard | 29 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| M. Ardison | 23 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 13 | - |
| K. Witherspoon | 20 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| K. Wray | 17 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| T. Little | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Thompson | 32 | 5-11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | - |
| B. Ahearn | 30 | 7-15 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 10 | - |
| T. Chaney | 26 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 14 | - |
| D. Lamberth | 24 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| K. Easley | 24 | 4-8 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 13 | - |
| S. Frazier | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 19 | - |
| D. Richards | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| S. Laurie | 16 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| K. Rausch | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| N. Bilyeu | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter