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Montana Grizzlies 67
@
Santa Clara Broncos 56
2005-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies Santa Clara Broncos Spread Result
Elo 9.3% 90.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 40.3% 59.7% - ✗
Margin 34.0% 66.0% +3.7 ✗ (14.7 off)
Pythagorean 55.4% 44.6% - ✓
Efficiency 76.3% 23.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 78.7% 21.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 78.8% 21.2% - ✓

Actual: Santa Clara Broncos -11 (56-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Strait 36 6-12 1-1 0-2 5 0 0 2 2 13 6 -
V. Matthews 33 3-5 0-1 1-3 4 2 2 0 2 7 8 -
K. Criswell 32 4-9 2-5 4-4 13 4 3 0 3 14 22 -
M. Martin 27 6-12 4-9 0-0 1 3 1 0 0 16 9 -
M. Dlouhy 26 2-5 1-2 1-2 5 1 2 1 1 6 9 -
J. Hasquet 21 2-8 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 1 0 6 1 -
M. Chavez 15 0-4 0-0 3-4 7 2 0 1 1 3 8 -
A. Swift 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
K. Sharp 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Niesen 40 7-19 1-4 3-4 6 0 1 0 2 18 4 -
B. Angley 38 4-10 3-5 2-2 2 8 0 0 1 13 12 -
M. Henke 36 6-13 2-6 0-0 6 1 1 1 2 14 8 -
C. Johnson 31 1-4 1-3 1-2 2 3 1 0 4 4 2 -
J. Bryant 19 3-6 0-0 0-1 9 0 1 3 2 6 11 -
O. Mbanugo 17 0-2 0-0 1-2 7 0 0 2 1 1 7 -
J. Kaempf 12 0-4 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -
D. Daniel 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 0 0 -
J. Burke 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter