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2005-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Portland Pilots Spread Result
Elo 79.9% 20.1% -
Bradley-Terry 84.4% 15.6% -
Margin 89.4% 10.6% -11.7 (19.7 off)
Pythagorean 59.2% 40.8% -
Efficiency 23.4% 76.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 93.3% 6.7% -
Log Adjusted 93.4% 6.6% -

Actual: Portland Pilots +8 (80-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Brooks 39 4-10 1-5 4-5 4 7 2 0 2 13 14 -
M. Hairston 32 4-12 1-4 2-4 4 1 0 1 3 11 2 -
M. Leunen 25 1-4 0-2 4-4 7 0 2 0 3 6 8 -
B. Lincoln 24 3-5 0-1 2-2 2 2 1 0 0 8 8 -
A. Zahn 22 5-9 1-2 0-0 7 0 2 1 3 11 9 -
B. Taylor 21 2-4 1-2 4-5 2 1 1 0 2 9 7 -
C. Oguchi 20 3-4 3-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 9 5 -
I. Johnson 10 0-2 0-0 2-4 1 1 1 0 1 2 2 -
R. Schafer 7 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 3 1 -

Portland Pilots

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Jeter 36 9-17 3-7 4-4 2 2 2 0 2 25 12 -
B. Sullivan 35 5-8 1-2 1-3 5 2 3 1 2 12 13 -
D. Cooper 34 3-9 0-3 15-16 6 2 0 0 5 21 15 -
D. Wilson 32 2-3 0-0 5-6 7 2 3 0 2 9 16 -
M. Lewis 24 4-6 0-0 0-2 6 0 1 1 2 8 8 -
K. Field 15 1-2 0-0 1-2 2 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
J. Dominguez 13 0-1 0-1 2-4 0 1 2 0 2 2 2 -
M. Carter 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Watson 4 0-0 0-0 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter