Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 29.5% | 70.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.7% | 89.3% | +11.6 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.5% | 91.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs +13 (73-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Allen | 30 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 3 | - |
| N. Janes | 27 | 5-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| L. Olsovsky | 25 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| R. Janes | 25 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| H. Uhegwu | 24 | 4-8 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | - |
| S. Barnes | 24 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| E. Bonzano | 17 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Marek | 17 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | - |
| F. Bonfim | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| E. Davis | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brooks | 29 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 16 | - |
| A. Calvin | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| C. Bryant | 26 | 7-12 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 7 | - |
| A. Stewart | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| N. Works | 23 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Josiah Cox | 16 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| B. Heemskerk | 14 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Emmenecker | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| N. Grant | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| S. Tracy | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Baryenbruch | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter