Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | Long Beach State Beach | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 20.3% | 79.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.6% | 87.4% | +10.6 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.6% | 89.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 29.3% | 70.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Long Beach State Beach +11 (81-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pugh | 34 | 7-13 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 14 | - |
| J. Dinkins | 33 | 4-15 | 1-4 | 3-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 5 | - |
| J. Greene | 32 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 9 | - |
| J. Zito | 32 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 17 | - |
| B. Hodges | 22 | 4-8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| M. Housman | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Bilal | 14 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Young | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| U. Eshietedoho | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Long Beach State Beach
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Hawkins | 27 | 6-6 | 3-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 17 | 17 | - |
| K. Johnson | 25 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 13 | - |
| J. Hodges | 25 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 11 | - |
| A. Nixon | 24 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| J. Henderson | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| M. Dawson | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | - |
| O. Ibekwe | 13 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| K. Houston | 13 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| L. Darby | 13 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Ricks | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Byrd | 8 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| A. Gant | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter