Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.7% | 70.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.9% | 61.1% | +2.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores +10 (69-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Dilligard | 36 | 11-18 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 22 | 19 | - |
| D. Ford | 32 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| K. Ford | 26 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| N. Onyeuku | 25 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| N. Plank | 23 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| B. Holtz | 20 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 20 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Vandello | 18 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| R. Carlwell | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Wallace | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| L. Dyer | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| E. Vianney | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Moss | 43 | 5-14 | 0-1 | 11-13 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 19 | - |
| T. Schnitker | 43 | 1-11 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -7 | - |
| G. Moore | 41 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 10-10 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 20 | - |
| J. Tunnell | 39 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| T. Wurtz | 28 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 8-12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 16 | - |
| D. Evans | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Yelovich | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| E. Booe | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Trudeau | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Wise | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter