Model Predictions
| Model | East Carolina Pirates | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.6% | 77.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.4% | 75.6% | +6.2 | ✓ (4.8 off) |
| Efficiency | 87.2% | 12.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +11 (73-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Carolina Pirates
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McNeil | 31 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | - |
| S. Hinnant | 31 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 4-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | - |
| C. Rouse | 29 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 9-10 | 14 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 21 | - |
| J. Ingram | 27 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| T. Gagnon | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| J. Hart | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| C. Captain | 18 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| T. Hammonds | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| J. Robinson | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Q. Goods | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Beale | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Mattone | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Payne | 32 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 8-8 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 17 | - |
| J. Ingram | 31 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| K. Howell | 26 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| S. Villegas | 25 | 5-10 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | - |
| F. Valencia | 25 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 6-10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | - |
| J. Young | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
| A. Currie | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 13 | - |
| J. Amos | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Kent | 8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Pinson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Johnson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter