Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | San Francisco Dons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.7% | 95.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 99.9% | 0.1% | -40.1 | ✓ (36.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Francisco Dons -4 (66-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Wilson | 34 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| R. Boykin Jr. | 33 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| K. Golob | 29 | 8-16 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 7 | - |
| T. Bazy | 25 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| S. Sir | 25 | 4-10 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| K. Landry | 19 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| R. McCurdy | 14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| W. Hensley | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| M. Seckold | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Van Patten | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Francisco Dons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Surratt | 34 | 2-11 | 0-5 | 1-3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -2 | - |
| A. Wiggins Jr. | 31 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 6-6 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 22 | - |
| D. Cavic | 26 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| D. Shiller | 22 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. Gumbs | 20 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -2 | - |
| D. Ingerson | 20 | 5-7 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 7 | - |
| V. Polakovic | 18 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| N. Pierce | 17 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | - |
| J. Byrd | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter