Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 65.0% | 35.0% | -3.4 | ✗ (14.4 off) |
| Efficiency | 96.1% | 3.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +11 (61-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Pearson | 32 | 1-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| P. Griffith | 28 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 7 | - |
| S. Witherspoon | 28 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 8 | - |
| J. Orr | 26 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| I. Redding | 26 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| K. Jenifer | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | -1 | - |
| D. Hopkins | 19 | 3-5 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| C. Johnson | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Holloway | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Wright | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Kennedy | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| M. McCoy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Robert Merritt | 40 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| J. Smith | 38 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| R. Gulina | 32 | 6-8 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 18 | - |
| J. Merritt | 27 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| T. Peterson | 24 | 7-11 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 15 | - |
| C. West | 19 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| R. Woolsey | 16 | 5-6 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9 | - |
| J. Black | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter