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Florida Atlantic Owls 76
@
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders 90
2005-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Florida Atlantic Owls Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Spread Result
Elo 24.3% 75.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 29.3% 70.7% - ✓
Margin 16.5% 83.5% +8.9 ✓ (5.1 off)
Pythagorean 48.8% 51.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 20.9% 79.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 20.8% 79.2% - ✓
Points Off/Def 33.3% 66.7% - ✓

Actual: Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders +14 (90-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Atlantic Owls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Webb 35 6-12 1-2 4-5 6 1 3 0 2 17 13 -
D. Rice 33 7-14 2-4 1-3 2 4 0 0 4 17 5 -
B. Crews 26 2-3 0-0 3-4 3 5 2 0 2 7 12 -
P. Graham III 24 5-13 1-4 1-3 0 0 0 0 1 12 -2 -
Q. Young 21 3-4 3-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 9 6 -
D. Simmons 20 5-8 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 10 4 -
F. Marshall 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 4 3 4 0 2 4 10 -
T. McTyer 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 0 1 -
D. Anderson 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 0 2 -

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
F. Cuyler 37 9-12 5-8 0-0 2 8 2 0 4 23 19 -
K. Young 34 4-7 0-0 1-4 6 2 0 0 1 9 9 -
A. Vogelsberg 34 5-7 5-7 4-4 4 2 0 0 0 19 18 -
K. Kanaskie 25 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 2 2 0 3 2 0 -
M. Morrison 24 1-4 0-0 4-4 6 5 1 0 5 6 9 -
B. Lake 24 6-9 3-4 2-2 5 1 2 0 3 17 13 -
T. Blue 11 5-6 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 1 2 12 12 -
T. Hudson 10 1-1 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
W. Durrant 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter