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2005-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Missouri Tigers Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 8.9% 91.1% -
Bradley-Terry 40.5% 59.5% -
Margin 34.1% 65.9% +3.6 (28.4 off)
Pythagorean 18.9% 81.1% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini +32 (82-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Horton * 35 4-7 1-2 0-1 2 2 0 0 4 9 2 -
J. McKinney * 31 4-13 0-2 3-3 3 2 2 0 3 11 2 -
C. Evans * 27 2-12 2-7 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 6 -9 -
M. Brown * 27 3-10 0-1 0-1 9 2 0 0 3 6 4 -
K. Young * 23 3-6 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 0 6 8 -
K. Grimes 17 2-3 0-0 1-4 7 0 1 0 2 5 8 -
M. Lawrence 12 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 -
M. Watkins 11 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 4 2 -
L. Lyons 10 1-3 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 2 2 3 1 -
J. Douglas 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
G. Dandridge 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Brown * 36 5-11 4-7 3-5 4 7 2 0 0 17 19 -
R. McBride * 33 2-6 1-4 0-0 2 4 3 0 3 5 5 -
J. Augustine * 30 6-11 0-0 0-0 8 3 3 0 3 12 12 -
B. Randle * 27 4-7 0-2 5-8 6 2 1 0 3 13 12 -
S. Pruitt * 20 2-5 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 2 5 3 -
J. Smith 20 3-5 2-3 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 8 7 -
M. Arnold 19 5-11 0-0 3-5 5 0 1 0 0 13 8 -
W. Carter 9 2-2 1-1 4-4 2 1 0 0 0 9 10 -
C. Brock 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Hicks 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter