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2005-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers Chattanooga Mocs Spread Result
Elo 24.1% 75.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 30.1% 69.9% - โœ“
Margin 34.4% 65.6% +3.6 โœ“ (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 48.6% 51.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 49.0% 51.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 42.8% 57.2% - โœ“

Actual: Chattanooga Mocs +11 (85-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Thompson 32 8-21 5-15 4-6 2 2 2 0 2 25 8 -
J. Butler 29 3-8 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 6 -5 -
M. Kearse 28 3-12 0-3 5-6 6 1 1 1 2 11 6 -
N. Gaines 27 2-2 0-0 4-4 4 0 0 0 2 8 8 -
K. Butler 23 2-2 0-0 2-3 5 2 0 0 1 6 10 -
C. Cook 17 1-3 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 3 2 -
C. Sumner 17 2-5 2-4 0-0 2 2 3 0 0 6 8 -
C. Vann 17 3-7 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 7 1 -
K. Bunn 17 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -
J. Loughry 15 1-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 1 1 2 4 -
M. Mitchell 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Chattanooga Mocs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Pugh 34 10-12 0-1 2-7 16 0 2 2 3 22 27 -
K. Mays 33 3-8 2-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 8 -1 -
S. Cherry 31 5-8 0-1 4-7 5 2 1 0 6 14 8 -
C. Long 30 5-9 0-2 2-4 5 1 3 0 1 12 11 -
J. Crouch 28 6-14 0-2 2-4 2 2 0 0 2 14 2 -
C. Anderson 25 4-6 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 1 1 8 5 -
J. Herring 23 2-3 0-0 1-2 2 2 1 1 1 5 7 -
N. Doaks 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
K. Hartwell 7 1-1 0-0 0-1 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
O. Johnson 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter