Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Holy Cross Crusaders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.9% | 68.1% | +5.3 | ✗ (6.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.4% | 56.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.8% | 60.2% | +2.3 | ✗ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Holy Cross Crusaders -1 (75-76). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamont Gordon | 31 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 3-3 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Jamall Edmondson | 25 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Dietric Slater | 23 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Walter Sharpe | 23 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Wesley Morgan | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Reginald Delk | 21 | 7-8 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | - |
| Richard Delk | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Piotr Stelmach | 17 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Charles Rhodes | 9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Jerrell Houston | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Michael Boler | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Holy Cross Crusaders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torey Thomas | 40 | 5-7 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Kevin Hamilton | 40 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 11-11 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 22 | - |
| Alex Vander Baan | 31 | 7-11 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 20 | - |
| Colin Cunningham | 24 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Tim Clifford | 22 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| K. Hyland | 18 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Keith Simmons | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
| Lawrence Dixon | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter