Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | USC Trojans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.9% | 37.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 67.0% | 33.0% | -3.9 | ✗ (18.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 92.5% | 7.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.2% | 14.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.3% | 14.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: USC Trojans +15 (74-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Noel * | 37 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 4-6 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 12 | - |
| T. Hansbrough * | 32 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| B. Frasor * | 29 | 2-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 5 | -4 | - |
| M. Ginyard * | 27 | 2-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| R. Terry * | 17 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| W. Miller | 18 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| D. Green | 16 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| B. Sanders | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Copeland | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Francis * | 37 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 12 | 11 | - |
| G. Pruitt * | 35 | 5-13 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 17 | - |
| N. Young * | 35 | 7-15 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 7 | - |
| A. Betz-White * | 33 | 7-12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 19 | - |
| A. Ndiaye * | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 13 | - |
| R. Cromwell | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -1 | - |
| D. Shackleford | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| S. Odzic | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter