Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Weber State Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.4% | 66.6% | +4.7 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.0% | 68.0% | +4.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Weber State Wildcats +13 (85-72). Ratings: 2005-06 season-end ratings.
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Barnes | 31 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Justin Allen | 29 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 0 | - |
| Nate Janes | 25 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Lubor Olsovsky | 23 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 15 | - |
| R. Janes | 17 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Henry Uhegwu | 17 | 2-7 | 1-6 | 3-6 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Fernando Bonfim | 14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Esteban Bonzano | 13 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Eli Davis | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Dave Marek | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Dax Crum | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Junior Abrahao | 3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
Weber State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coric Riggs | 28 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 7-9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 20 | - |
| Terrell Stovall | 26 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Nedim Pajevic | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Dan Henry | 23 | 3-7 | 1-2 | 4-7 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Nick Covington | 22 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Clint Burris | 22 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| David Patten | 22 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| B. Cox | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Chauncey Shelton | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Emadi | 7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Danko Barisic | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. Sparrow | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter