Model Predictions
| Model | Kansas State Wildcats | Northern Illinois Huskies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.4% | 57.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 59.6% | 40.4% | -2.1 | ✗ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.2% | 23.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.6% | 23.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northern Illinois Huskies +5 (75-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kansas State Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Diarra | 40 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | - |
| C. Martin | 38 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 4 | - |
| C. Stewart | 37 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 6 | - |
| A. Wright | 37 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | 5 | - |
| L. Harris | 30 | 4-13 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| D. Hoskins | 20 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| M. Taybron | 14 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 3 | - |
| C. Allen | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| T. Hughes | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Afeli | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Northern Illinois Huskies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Sims | 40 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 18 | - |
| M. McKinney | 35 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| T. Peterson | 35 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 3-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 16 | - |
| J. Hughes | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Rand | 22 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 4-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| A. Maestranzi | 21 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 4-4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| C. Reichel | 16 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| R. Paradise | 16 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Z. Pancratz | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. McKenzie | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Q. Lipkins | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
* = starter