Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 30.3% | 69.7% | +4.6 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +3 (54-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.