Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.2% | 86.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.2% | 68.8% | +4.4 | ✓ (1.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 70.6% | 29.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.5% | 57.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +3 (54-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. LeSure | 33 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 2 | - |
| B. Hudson | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| J. Sharper | 26 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| K. Spain | 26 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| M. Camara | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | - |
| M. Thomas | 26 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 | - |
| B. Hoerner | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. McGrath | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Williams | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
* = starter