Model Predictions
| Model | UMBC Retrievers | San Diego State Aztecs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 9.7% | 90.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.2% | 96.8% | +18.7 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: San Diego State Aztecs +13 (58-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UMBC Retrievers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Pugh | 34 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 6 | - |
| J. Zito | 34 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 1-7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| J. Dinkins | 33 | 7-14 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 6 | - |
| M. Housman | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| J. Greene | 28 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| B. Hodges | 20 | 0-9 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -9 | - |
| T. Young | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | - |
| R. Bilal | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Timba | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. LeSure | 33 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | 2 | - |
| B. Hudson | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 11 | - |
| J. Sharper | 26 | 4-8 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 2 | - |
| K. Spain | 26 | 5-12 | 1-1 | 5-6 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | - |
| M. Camara | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 14 | - |
| M. Thomas | 26 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 | - |
| B. Hoerner | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| T. McGrath | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Williams | 10 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
* = starter