Model Predictions
| Model | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.8% | 27.2% | -5.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.5% | 20.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights -5 (68-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Lee | 35 | 8-17 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 17 | - |
| A. Winchester | 29 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 7-9 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| B. Siakam | 27 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| T. Rogers | 24 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 2-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| E. Wilborn | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| J. Campbell | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| D. Emerson | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| M. Walker | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| B. Callier | 11 | 2-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| B. Jointer | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| O. Mendez-Valdez | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. O'Donnell | 37 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13 | 9 | - |
| J. Rose | 28 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | - |
| M. Johnson | 25 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| J. Peppers | 24 | 7-14 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 4 | - |
| L. Payne | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A. Gill | 19 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| T. Lindbeck | 16 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Williams | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| Jj Taylor | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| D. Noel | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter