Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Montana State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.3% | 66.7% | +3.8 | ✓ (1.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Montana State Bobcats +2 (70-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Cooper | 37 | 8-13 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 12 | - |
| P. Jeter | 35 | 4-13 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| D. Wilson | 32 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| J. Dominguez | 27 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 14 | - |
| B. Averette | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Field | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | - |
| B. Sullivan | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Lewis | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| M. Carter | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Jones | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| S. Watson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. McTear | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moss | 33 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | - |
| C. Durham | 31 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| J. Jefferson | 26 | 3-8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| L. Ball | 25 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 2-5 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | - |
| D. Edmonds | 21 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| C. Durr | 20 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| A. Beye | 19 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| T. Morris | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Wilson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
* = starter