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2005-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Northern Iowa Panthers LSU Tigers Spread Result
Elo 15.6% 84.4% -
Bradley-Terry 31.4% 68.6% -
Margin 18.6% 81.4% +8.1 (12.1 off)
Pythagorean 46.1% 53.9% -
Efficiency 46.0% 54.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.4% 72.6% -
Log Adjusted 27.3% 72.7% -

Actual: LSU Tigers -4 (50-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Crawford * 38 4-11 2-5 2-2 3 3 0 0 1 12 6 -
E. Coleman * 36 3-10 0-0 1-2 7 3 0 0 2 7 5 -
B. McKowen * 35 0-3 0-1 0-0 4 5 1 0 3 0 4 -
B. Jacobson * 32 4-7 2-5 1-2 3 2 2 0 6 11 5 -
G. Stout * 28 9-13 0-1 0-1 9 0 0 1 1 18 14 -
J. Little 18 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 3 3 -
A. Viet 8 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
J. Josten 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

LSU Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Mitchell * 37 2-10 0-3 0-0 7 2 0 0 2 4 1 -
D. Mitchell * 35 9-14 3-4 1-4 4 2 3 1 1 22 17 -
G. Davis * 35 6-13 0-1 1-4 4 3 3 0 0 13 10 -
G. Temple * 30 1-4 0-3 1-2 2 1 0 1 4 3 -1 -
D. Lazare * 15 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 1 0 2 3 -
T. Thomas 25 2-5 0-0 0-0 7 2 0 5 0 4 13 -
B. Balla 12 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 -2 -
B. Voogd 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
M. Rolle 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter