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2005-12-19

Model Predictions

Model Montana Grizzlies UC Riverside Highlanders Spread Result
Elo 42.5% 57.5% -
Bradley-Terry 62.1% 37.9% -
Margin 61.1% 38.9% -2.5 (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 85.9% 14.1% -
Efficiency 89.8% 10.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 96.6% 3.4% -
Log Adjusted 96.6% 3.4% -

Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders -10 (67-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana Grizzlies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Strait 36 14-21 0-0 3-4 5 1 1 0 1 31 16 -
J. Hasquet 32 4-5 0-1 0-0 9 1 1 0 5 8 9 -
V. Matthews 31 2-4 1-2 4-5 6 10 2 0 3 9 20 -
K. Criswell 30 5-9 2-5 2-4 3 4 3 0 2 14 13 -
M. Martin 30 2-7 1-6 0-0 0 2 1 0 3 5 -2 -
M. Dlouhy 27 2-3 1-2 1-2 3 3 0 0 1 6 8 -
M. Chavez 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 2 3 -
B. Ellis 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Sharp 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -

UC Riverside Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Bekono 30 2-2 0-0 1-2 4 0 2 3 0 5 12 -
H. Power 29 5-12 5-11 0-0 2 3 2 0 4 15 6 -
R. Porter 27 5-14 4-11 2-2 2 1 2 0 2 16 5 -
C. Soto 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 0 3 0 4 -
K. Schille 18 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 3 0 1 -
S. Cunningham 15 2-4 1-3 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 5 2 -
L. Cunningham 15 4-6 0-1 1-1 0 4 0 0 1 9 6 -
S. Williams 13 3-6 1-2 3-3 4 0 0 0 1 10 7 -
J. Knox 12 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
D. Misko 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
R. Cobbs 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 2 0 0 -
D. Bates 4 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
C. Johnson 3 1-3 0-2 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -

* = starter