Model Predictions
| Model | Xavier Musketeers | Creighton Bluejays | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 41.7% | 58.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.8% | 67.2% | +4.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.4% | 43.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Creighton Bluejays +2 (61-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Xavier Musketeers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cage | 40 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 10 | - |
| S. Burrell | 39 | 6-17 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| D. Finn | 35 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 5 | - |
| B. Thornton | 25 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - |
| J. Doellman | 24 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| W. Caudle | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| J. Wolf | 10 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| J. Duncan | 10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
Creighton Bluejays
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Tolliver | 35 | 8-12 | 2-4 | 8-9 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 25 | - |
| N. Porter | 32 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | - |
| J. Mathies | 31 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | - |
| J. Dotzler | 31 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 4-8 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| D. Watts | 27 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 3-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Day | 19 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| B. Nengsu | 15 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D. Bishop | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter