Model Predictions
| Model | Duquesne Dukes | Youngstown State Penguins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.8% | 70.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 21.3% | 78.7% | +7.2 | ✓ (13.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 29.2% | 70.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.6% | 65.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.8% | 65.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Youngstown State Penguins +21 (72-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jackson | 33 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Hudson | 30 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | - |
| C. Duke | 28 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| R. Lambert | 28 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| B. McAllister | 25 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4 | - |
| J. Higgins | 18 | 5-9 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 4 | - |
| B. Kelly | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| K. Gayden | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| R. Thomas | 11 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | - |
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Harris | 37 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| K. Roberts | 36 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 8-10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 13 | - |
| Q. Humphrey | 34 | 6-9 | 2-5 | 6-9 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 20 | - |
| J. Barber | 27 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | - |
| C. LaForme | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| D. Holmes | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Crawford | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| J. Liles | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Adams | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Niemi | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Sanchez | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter