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2005-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Montana State Bobcats Wyoming Cowboys Spread Result
Elo 38.8% 61.2% -
Bradley-Terry 29.2% 70.8% -
Margin 19.8% 80.2% +7.7 (5.3 off)
Pythagorean 27.5% 72.5% -
Efficiency 5.9% 94.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 20.1% 79.9% -
Log Adjusted 20.1% 79.9% -

Actual: Wyoming Cowboys +13 (80-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Miller 32 3-12 1-8 4-4 2 4 2 0 3 11 4 -
J. Jefferson 32 5-10 3-7 4-6 6 1 0 1 1 17 14 -
L. Ball 30 3-7 2-4 0-0 2 0 3 0 2 8 4 -
A. Beye 25 1-10 0-0 2-4 2 2 0 1 0 4 -1 -
C. Durham 24 1-6 1-5 2-2 3 4 1 0 1 5 6 -
C. Durr 22 3-6 3-5 0-1 1 0 1 1 0 9 6 -
M. Moss 20 4-8 1-1 1-2 7 2 1 1 1 10 12 -
T. Morris 15 1-4 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 0 0 3 3 -

Wyoming Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Ewing 36 6-8 1-2 8-8 11 4 2 0 1 21 29 -
S. Leven 33 6-12 6-11 5-6 7 0 0 0 5 23 13 -
D. Wabbington 27 2-8 0-0 3-5 3 1 1 0 3 7 1 -
J. Williams 27 5-15 0-0 4-9 13 1 0 4 0 14 17 -
K. Lewis 22 1-6 1-5 1-3 8 3 0 1 1 4 9 -
B. Jones 17 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 1 0 0 3 1 -2 -
J. Ebert 14 2-4 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 5 4 -
D. Brown 12 1-3 0-0 0-1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 -
C. Anderson 9 0-0 0-0 3-4 4 1 0 1 3 3 6 -
I. Okoye 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter