Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.8% | 40.2% | -2.2 | ✗ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Cal State Northridge Matadors +4 (73-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Plank | 28 | 4-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | - |
| D. Ford | 28 | 6-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 10 | - |
| M. Vandello | 27 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Ford | 24 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | - |
| B. Holtz | 23 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | - |
| N. Onyeuku | 23 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 4 | - |
| G. Dilligard | 16 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| R. Carlwell | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Dyer | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Efevberha | 32 | 7-16 | 2-5 | 11-15 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 27 | 17 | - |
| T. Shewmake | 27 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 12 | - |
| J. Heard | 27 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 7 | - |
| B. Altheimer | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - |
| D. Smith | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Miller | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| R. Locke | 16 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| R. Haynes | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| K. Everage | 13 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| A. Washington | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Powers | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Hill | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter