Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.2% | 67.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 20.9% | 79.1% | +7.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +11 (80-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Singletary * | 39 | 11-20 | 4-9 | 9-14 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 35 | 27 | - |
| J.R. Reynolds * | 29 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | -1 | - |
| T. Soroye * | 29 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| M. Diane * | 20 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | - |
| J. Cain * | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| A. Joseph | 35 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| L. Mikalauskas | 24 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | - |
| B. Campbell | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Morrison * | 37 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 8-12 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 17 | - |
| J.P. Batista * | 37 | 6-12 | 0-0 | 5-7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 17 | 11 | - |
| D. Raivio * | 37 | 5-13 | 5-10 | 3-4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 14 | - |
| S. Mallon * | 29 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| P. Altidor-Cespedes * | 26 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 8 | - |
| D. Pendergraft | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Pargo | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| L. Gurganious | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| E. Knight | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter