Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas-Monticello Weevils | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 0.9% | 99.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.6% | 99.4% | +28.4 | ✓ (11.4 off) |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +17 (63-46). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas-Monticello Weevils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. McDaniels | 40 | 7-18 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 6 | - |
| N. Newell | 40 | 3-17 | 1-9 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -3 | - |
| D. Wilson | 28 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| B. Mayweather | 28 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | - |
| M. Williams | 26 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| R. Miller | 14 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| R. McGrew | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Doty | 12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Roberts | 29 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | - |
| N. Plummer | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 15 | - |
| C. Alvarez | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| J. Binnie | 22 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| L. White | 21 | 4-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| M. Bennett | 21 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| J. Cripe | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| W. Williams | 14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Scott | 12 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| C. Little | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| N. Stafford | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Penno | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter