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2005-12-17

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders Spread Result
Elo 10.5% 89.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 16.4% 83.6% - โœ“
Margin 4.3% 95.7% +17.0 โœ“ (6.0 off)
Pythagorean 16.2% 83.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.7% 98.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.6% 98.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 18.3% 81.7% - โœ“

Actual: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders +11 (64-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Marentez 37 3-11 1-5 6-7 3 2 3 0 3 13 7 -
K. Brucculeri 37 4-8 3-6 4-4 2 0 1 0 1 15 9 -
V. Oliver 31 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 2 0 -
T. Juillerat 30 6-9 0-1 0-1 2 1 1 0 0 12 7 -
P. Rasmussen 27 3-9 0-4 0-1 7 3 1 0 1 6 7 -
D. Carter 17 0-2 0-0 1-3 1 0 1 0 3 1 -2 -
J. Lopez-Low 10 0-1 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 1 1 -
L. Ford 10 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 3 -1 -
M. Boone 1 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 0 0 1 -

Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. White 33 1-1 1-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 3 2 -
C. Daniels 30 13-21 0-0 1-2 15 0 0 1 5 27 17 -
C. Smith 28 6-8 0-1 3-3 5 2 0 0 0 15 14 -
J. Washington 27 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 4 3 -1 -
R. Mintz 20 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Ervin 13 0-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -3 -
K. Menifee 13 2-3 0-0 0-1 4 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
S. Engelken 12 4-4 0-0 2-4 1 1 2 0 1 10 9 -
C. Nelson 11 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 2 0 2 3 -
T. Mitchell 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 3 0 1 0 0 -
M. Slatnick 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

* = starter