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2005-12-17

Model Predictions

Model San Francisco Dons Marquette Golden Eagles Spread Result
Elo 27.9% 72.1% -
Bradley-Terry 1.1% 98.9% -
Margin 0.0% 100.0% +64.3 (51.3 off)
Pythagorean 40.0% 60.0% -
Efficiency 4.7% 95.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 6.1% 93.9% -
Log Adjusted 5.9% 94.1% -

Actual: Marquette Golden Eagles +13 (61-48). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Shiller 33 1-5 0-2 0-0 4 4 0 0 1 2 4 -
A. Wiggins Jr. 31 6-11 0-1 2-2 6 1 2 2 2 14 12 -
N. Pierce 30 7-9 0-0 3-6 3 1 2 1 1 17 14 -
A. Surratt 30 2-9 1-4 0-0 3 6 0 0 8 5 -3 -
J. Gumbs 30 4-10 0-1 2-2 9 0 1 0 2 10 8 -
J. Byrd 14 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 0 1 -
D. Ingerson 12 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -2 -
M. Bell 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
D. Cavic 7 0-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
V. Polakovic 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Marquette Golden Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Novak 33 7-11 6-8 2-2 6 1 0 0 1 22 17 -
J. McNeal 32 6-14 1-3 2-5 1 2 3 0 3 15 4 -
D. James 30 0-5 0-4 4-6 1 2 0 1 2 4 1 -
W. Matthews 27 1-7 0-0 5-6 7 3 2 1 2 7 11 -
R. Amoroso 26 3-9 0-1 2-3 8 2 1 1 1 8 10 -
J. Chapman 18 1-2 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 3 3 -
D. Fitzgerald 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Lott 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
C. Grimm 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
O. Barro 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter