Model Predictions
| Model | Oregon Ducks | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.6% | 79.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.8% | 43.2% | -1.5 | ✗ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.3% | 8.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +7 (68-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Oregon Ducks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hairston * | 36 | 7-13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 8 | - |
| M. Leunen * | 35 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| A. Brooks * | 34 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 9 | - |
| B. Taylor * | 32 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | - |
| I. Johnson * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | - |
| A. Zahn | 26 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| B. Lincoln | 17 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -1 | - |
| R. Schafer | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Short | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Oguchi | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Walters * | 36 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 16 | - |
| D. Chiotti * | 34 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 13 | - |
| R. Kersten * | 32 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | - |
| T. Danridge * | 24 | 1-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. Prochaska * | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| K. Walter | 15 | 4-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | - |
| K. Collins | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Harden | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Box | 11 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Hart | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Toppert | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter