Model Predictions
| Model | Santa Clara Broncos | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 30.2% | 69.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.6% | 96.4% | +18.1 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +18 (76-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Santa Clara Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Angley * | 37 | 5-12 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | - |
| M. Henke * | 33 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| T. Niesen * | 32 | 6-18 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 1 | - |
| C. Johnson * | 32 | 2-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | - |
| J. Bryant * | 23 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | - |
| B. Rohe | 18 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| O. Mbanugo | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Kaempf | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Daniel | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Burke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Sammet | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Noel * | 35 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 8 | - |
| B. Frasor * | 29 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | - |
| T. Hansbrough * | 29 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 18 | - |
| M. Ginyard * | 27 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 9 | - |
| R. Terry * | 18 | 3-9 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| D. Green | 21 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 12 | - |
| W. Miller | 13 | 1-6 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| B. Sanders | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Wood | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| W. Robinson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Wilkins | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Burke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Copeland | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter