Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.7% | 78.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.8% | 66.2% | +3.7 | ✓ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.7% | 48.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +12 (73-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Laudermill * | 34 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| T. Dean * | 34 | 5-16 | 2-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 5 | - |
| J. Palacios * | 26 | 6-9 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 14 | - |
| T. Williams * | 22 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| D. Padgett * | 20 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | - |
| A. McGee | 19 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | - |
| B. Johnson | 16 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| C. Millard | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| B. Gianiny | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Huffman | 4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Farley | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Rondo * | 35 | 7-12 | 1-3 | 10-15 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 22 | - |
| P. Sparks * | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| R. Moss * | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| R. Sims * | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | - |
| M. Adetula * | 4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Crawford | 31 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| L. Obrzut | 30 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| S. Thomas | 29 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 13 | - |
| R. Bradley | 17 | 3-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | - |
| B. Perry | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter