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2005-12-17

Model Predictions

Model UC Irvine Anteaters Colorado Buffaloes Spread Result
Elo 28.1% 71.9% -
Bradley-Terry 17.8% 82.2% -
Margin 9.4% 90.6% +12.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 56.8% 43.2% -
Efficiency 95.7% 4.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.7% 81.3% -
Log Adjusted 18.4% 81.6% -

Actual: Colorado Buffaloes +16 (96-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Irvine Anteaters

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Campbell 36 6-10 3-6 3-4 2 5 2 0 3 18 14 -
R. Schraeder 35 11-12 3-3 1-1 4 0 1 0 1 26 18 -
A. Fitzgerald 33 4-9 0-3 1-2 3 7 3 0 6 9 7 -
S. Armstrong 25 2-4 1-2 2-2 1 2 0 0 1 7 5 -
M. Kelley 20 3-7 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 2 6 5 -
D. Fells 15 2-5 0-0 3-5 2 3 0 0 1 7 6 -
A. Templeton 14 2-5 2-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 6 3 -
D. Price 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -1 -
A. Metelski 7 0-0 0-0 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Green 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Sanders 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 -

Colorado Buffaloes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Hall 32 5-11 2-5 2-2 1 5 2 0 2 14 9 -
R. Roby 30 6-10 3-6 5-6 4 3 3 2 1 20 21 -
A. Osborn 29 3-9 1-5 3-4 7 2 0 0 0 10 10 -
M. Freeman 24 5-7 2-4 5-6 1 1 3 0 2 17 13 -
J. Obazuaye 23 6-9 1-2 0-0 4 4 2 0 1 13 13 -
D. Coleman 21 5-6 0-1 3-4 6 3 2 0 2 13 16 -
C. Copeland 16 2-6 1-3 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 5 4 -
M. King-Stockton 10 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
S. Senger 6 1-4 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 1 4 5 -
G. Eddy 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
A. McGee 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
L. Arrington 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter