Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | South Alabama Jaguars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.6% | 60.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.4% | 55.6% | +1.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: South Alabama Jaguars +4 (66-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Latham | 36 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| L. Smith | 36 | 6-19 | 2-5 | 3-7 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | -1 | - |
| J. Thorpe | 33 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| S. de Randamie | 26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | - |
| O. Lafayette | 26 | 5-19 | 1-8 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 4 | - |
| R. Dyer | 20 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| L. Roberson | 8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| E. Adeife | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| C. Lawson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Young | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Bloom | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
South Alabama Jaguars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Christie * | 28 | 3-13 | 1-5 | 5-8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 0 | - |
| R. Law * | 27 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| C. Smith * | 27 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 8 | - |
| M. Jointer * | 23 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 7-12 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| J. McGriff * | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8 | - |
| M. Phillips | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| D. Bennett | 20 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| S. Cowherd | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| J. Collins | 8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Buboltz | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Grigsby | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter