Model Predictions
| Model | Norfolk State Spartans | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.0% | 85.0% | +9.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.5% | 58.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.5% | 90.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights +16 (63-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Norfolk State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Brown | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 16 | 7 | - |
| T. Dunkley | 23 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| K. Young | 23 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T. Murphy | 23 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -1 | - |
| B. Faulcon | 23 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| K. Ogunride | 22 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| A. Thomas | 22 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Gary | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -4 | - |
| L. Vickers | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Gordon | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Rose | 37 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-5 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| M. O'Donnell | 37 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 6-7 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - |
| M. Johnson | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| J. Peppers | 23 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 7 | - |
| A. Williams | 22 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Payne | 21 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| T. Lindbeck | 15 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | - |
| A. Gill | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Jj Taylor | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| K. Zondervan | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Speraw | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter